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ARI
ARI
Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
AT&T Stadium
DAL
DAL
▶ Watch Game Simulation
LAST 5
W
L
L
L
L
LAST 5
L
W
L
W
L
Market & Matchup
SPREAD
DAL -6.5
ARI +6.5 · DraftKings
TOTAL
54.5
Over / Under
MONEYLINE
DAL -290
ARI +235
MODEL
Sim projects ARI 20.8 - DAL 24.7 - DAL wins it 61% of sims, agreeing with the market favorite.
MONEY
The moneyline money is split from the tickets: 33% of moneyline money is on ARI - on just 12% of tickets.
RECORD
DAL is 1-1-0 ATS as a home favorite in 2026 (8-7-0 in the role since 2023); ARI is 3-0-0 ATS as an away underdog in 2026 (13-10-0 in the role since 2023).
Where the money is · one bar, tickets vs money
Spread · DAL -6.5
ARI 58%
DAL 42%
TICKETS
ARI 73%
DAL 27%
MONEY
Total · 54.5
OVER 17%
UNDER 83%
TICKETS
OVER 14%
UNDER 86%
MONEY
Moneyline
ARI 12%
DAL 88%
TICKETS
ARI 33%
DAL 67%
MONEY
Key injuries
Arizona Cardinals
Jacoby BrissettQBACTIVE
Kendrick BourneWRACTIVE
Michael WilsonWRACTIVE
Trey McBrideTEACTIVE
Dallas Cowboys
Dak PrescottQBACTIVE
Javonte WilliamsRBACTIVE
CeeDee LambWRACTIVE
George PickensWRQUES
Jake FergusonTEACTIVE
Top props in this game · model edge
Jacoby Brissett QB · ARI
Over 0.5 pass int
Over in 4/7 games (avg 0.9)
68%
MODEL
Kendrick Bourne WR · ARI
Over 3.5 rec
Over in 3/7 games (avg 3.6) - DAL allows 12.1 receptions a game to WRs (#24)
68%
MODEL
Jake Ferguson TE · DAL
Over 2.5 rec
Over in 4/7 games (avg 2.4) - ARI allows 6.2 receptions a game to TEs (#26)
68%
MODEL
Trey McBride TE · ARI
Over 7.5 rec
Over in 5/7 games (avg 8.4) - DAL allows 5.3 receptions a game to TEs (#17)
66%
MODEL
No player on this page is out, so nobody had to be excluded from this strip.
Situational records · ATS
ARI · away underdog today
ATS - all games (2026)3-4-0
ATS - as away underdog (2026)3-0-0
ATS - as away underdog ('23-'25)13-10-0
Totals - over/under (2026)4-3-0
DAL · home favorite today
ATS - all games (2026)4-3-0
ATS - as home favorite (2026)1-1-0
ATS - as home favorite ('23-'25)8-7-0
Totals - over/under (2026)5-2-0
Matchup edges · 2026 season ranks
ARI ball vs DAL defense

The crack: 253.4 QB yards a game (#28) and 168.9 WR yards a game (#27).

The wall: 94.1 rush yards a game (#15) and 51.7 TE yards a game (#17).

DAL ball vs ARI defense

The crack: 107.5 rush yards a game (#29) and 68.3 TE yards a game (#29).

No real wall here - even the better numbers are soft: 149.6 WR yards a game (#22) and 245.8 QB yards a game (#25).

Line: DraftKings via ESPN · Splits: Action Network · Records: TeamRankings (2026 season + 2023-2025 sums; All Games rows include playoffs) · Model: 10,000-game simulation · Injuries: Tuesday report
Defensive Matchup Ratings
DAL defense
faces ARI
vs QB
#28
#28 253.4 yds/gm
#29 2.1 td/gm
vs RB
#22
#15 94.1 yds/gm
#29 0.96 td/gm
vs WR
#26
#27 168.9 yds/gm
#24 12.1 rec/gm
vs TE
#17
#17 51.7 yds/gm
#17 5.3 rec/gm
ARI defense
faces DAL
vs QB
#28
#25 245.8 yds/gm
#32 2.39 td/gm
vs RB
#24
#29 107.5 yds/gm
#20 0.77 td/gm
vs WR
#14
#22 149.6 yds/gm
#7 10.0 rec/gm
vs TE
#28
#29 68.3 yds/gm
#26 6.2 rec/gm
Player Board
TEAM POS
SORT
Streak badges = consecutive games clearing ▲ over or missing ▼ under the line
Jacoby Brissett
QB1
Jacoby Brissett
ARI · Pass 218→272 ↑ 25%
ACTIVE
Injury: — Threw a season-high 52 times in W3 for 280 yards and 2 TDs, rebounding from a 95-yard W2, and added a rushing TD. His volume has swung wildly week to week (37 → 28 → 52 attempts). pass attempts 37 → 28 → 52 → 35.
Pass yds
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
264.5
LINE
228.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
53%
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass INT
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
0.5
LINE
0.9 (7g)
2026 AVG
68%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
-
TDS/GAMES
—
MODEL
-
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Kendrick Bourne
WR1
Kendrick Bourne
ARI · Rec 47→9 ↓ 81%
ACTIVE
Injury: QUESTIONABLE Has faded since a busy W1 (8 catches, 75 yds on 8 targets); just 5 targets total over the last two weeks. Still scoreless on the season. targets 8 → 3 → 3.
Rec yds
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
38
LINE
33.4 (7g)
2026 AVG
58%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
3.5
LINE
3.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
68%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
0/7
TDS/GAMES
19%
MODEL
0/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Michael Wilson
WR2
Michael Wilson
ARI · Rec 32→55 ↑ 72%
ACTIVE
Injury: — Massive W3 usage spike — 17 targets, 11 catches, 89 yards, all season highs, plus his first TD of 2026. He had been quiet in W1–W2 (7 targets each, 74 total yards). targets 7 → 7 → 17 → 13.
Rec yds
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
58.5
LINE
3▼ straight
53.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
55%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
4.5
LINE
3▼ straight
5.3 (7g)
2026 AVG
65%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
1/7
TDS/GAMES
26%
MODEL
1/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Trey McBride
TE1
Trey McBride
ARI · Rec 53→111 ↑ 109%
ACTIVE
Injury: — A target monster again in W3 (11 targets, 9 catches) but scoreless after TDs in W1 and W2. He has seen double-digit targets in all three games this season (13, 10, 11). targets 13 → 10 → 11 → 12.
Rec yds
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
72.5
LINE
67.4 (7g)
2026 AVG
56%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
5/7
W1-W6 OVER
7.5
LINE
8.4 (7g)
2026 AVG
66%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
4/7
TDS/GAMES
39%
MODEL
4/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Dak Prescott
QB1
Dak Prescott
DAL · Pass 258→212 ↓ 18%
ACTIVE
Prescott threw a season-high 40 passes in the Week 3 shootout loss to Baltimore, per ESPN's recap calling it a "relatively quiet day" despite the scoreboard. His yardage has held near 275+ in back-to-back weeks after a 175-yard opener. pass attempts 34 → 31 → 40 → 45;pass yds 175 → 279 → 276 → 335;pass TDs 2 → 4 → 1 → 1.
Pass yds
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
266.5
LINE
264.4 (7g)
2026 AVG
53%
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass TD
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
1.9 (7g)
2026 AVG
66%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rush yds
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
14.5
LINE
4▼ straight
11.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
55%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
-
TDS/GAMES
—
MODEL
-
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Javonte Williams
RB1
Javonte Williams
DAL · Rush 41→155 ↑ 278%
ACTIVE
Williams gave Dallas a 10-0 first-quarter lead with a 2-yard TD plunge in Week 3, per ESPN, and his 19 carries and 98 yards were both season highs. He has found the end zone 3 times total in 2026 (2 rushing, 1 receiving). carries 12 → 12 → 19 → 19;rush yds 41 → 30 → 98 → 62;rush TDs 1 → 0 → 1 → 3;targets 5 → 4 → 3 → 5.
Rush yds
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
69.5
LINE
67.4 (7g)
2026 AVG
58%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
2.5
LINE
3▼ straight
2.7 (7g)
2026 AVG
65%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec yds
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
17
LINE
14.7 (7g)
2026 AVG
63%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
6/7
TDS/GAMES
56%
MODEL
6/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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CeeDee Lamb
WR1
CeeDee Lamb
DAL · Rec 70→74 ↑ 6%
ACTIVE
Injury: — Lamb paced Dallas in receiving yards in Week 3 (112) while George Pickens led the team in targets with 11, per ESPN. He has 8+ targets in all three games and topped 100 yards in two of three. targets 8 → 9 → 8 → 21;receptions 5 → 8 → 7 → 17;rec yds 44 → 153 → 112 → 189;rec TDs 1 → 2 → 0 → 1.
Rec yds
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
84.5
LINE
3▼ straight
93.0 (7g)
2026 AVG
61%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
6.5
LINE
7.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
58%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
3/7
TDS/GAMES
31%
MODEL
3/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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George Pickens
WR2
George Pickens
DAL · Rec 73→57 ↓ 22%
QUESTIONABLE
Pickens led the Cowboys in targets (11) and set new season highs in targets, catches, and yards in Week 3, per ESPN. His target count has risen every week since joining Dallas. targets 6 → 8 → 11 → 3;receptions 3 → 6 → 7 → 2;rec yds 28 → 40 → 82 → 75.
Rec yds
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
66.5
LINE
69.3 (7g)
2026 AVG
61%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
4.5
LINE
5.3 (7g)
2026 AVG
58%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
2/7
TDS/GAMES
24%
MODEL
2/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Jake Ferguson
TE1
Jake Ferguson
DAL · Rec 13→0 ↓ 100%
ACTIVE
Ferguson reached the end zone for the second straight week in Week 3, connecting with Prescott on a 19-yarder, per ESPN. His targets have risen every week (2 → 4 → 5), though yardage dipped from the Week 2 high. targets 2 → 4 → 5 → 4;receptions 2 → 4 → 3 → 3;rec yds 6 → 43 → 23 → 11;rec TDs 0 → 2 → 1 → 0.
Rec yds
MARKET
1/7
W1-W6 OVER
27
LINE
5▼ straight
16.4 (7g)
2026 AVG
60%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
2.5
LINE
2.4 (7g)
2026 AVG
68%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
2/7
TDS/GAMES
27%
MODEL
2/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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