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BUF
BUF
Mon Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET
U.S. Bank Stadium
MIN
MIN
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LAST 5
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Defensive Matchup Ratings
MIN defense
faces BUF
vs QB
#2
#3 194.5 yds/gm
#1 0.72 td/gm
vs RB
#9
#10 90.8 yds/gm
#8 0.48 td/gm
vs WR
#6
#8 129.6 yds/gm
#3 9.7 rec/gm
vs TE
#6
#11 44.0 yds/gm
#1 3.4 rec/gm
BUF defense
faces MIN
vs QB
#20
#14 219.7 yds/gm
#27 1.83 td/gm
vs RB
#24
#21 97.8 yds/gm
#26 0.87 td/gm
vs WR
#20
#20 147.8 yds/gm
#19 11.3 rec/gm
vs TE
#3
#4 39.0 yds/gm
#2 3.9 rec/gm
Player Board
TEAM POS
SORT
Streak badges = consecutive games clearing ▲ over or missing ▼ under the line
Josh Allen
QB1
Josh Allen
BUF · Pass 255→289 ↑ 13%
ACTIVE
Allen's passing has been volatile - from 334 yards in Week 1 to 204 with 2 INTs in Week 3, then 253 in Week 4 - but his rushing TDs keep the floor intact. He is Questionable after taking a late hit in Pass attempts W1→W3: 29 → 31 → 26 → 33.Pass yds: 334 → 248 → 204 → 253. TD:INT: 2:0 → 3:0 → 0:2.Rush yds: 23 → 69 → 22 → 4. Rushing TDs: 2 in each of Weeks 1–3 (6 total).
Pass yds
MARKET
5/7
W1-W6 OVER
234.5
LINE
256.1 (7g)
2026 AVG
65%
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass INT
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
0.5
LINE
0.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
51%
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass TD
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
1.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
53%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rush yds
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
35.5
LINE
38.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
63%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
6/7
TDS/GAMES
20%
MODEL
6/7
2026 TD
-37%
EDGE
Book -135 (57%)
GAMES
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James Cook
RB1
James Cook
BUF · Rush 95→80 ↓ 16%
ACTIVE
Cook has been Buffalo's workhorse with career-level volume — carries and yards up three straight weeks, 154 yards in Week 3. His receiving role is fading (1 target), but he owns this matchup: 107 rushing yards and 3 total TDs vs New England last December. Carries W1→W3: 13 → 21 → 24.Rush yds: 57 → 135 → 154 → 75.Rush TDs: 0 → 1 → 1 → 1.Targets: 4 → 3 → 1 → 2 (receiving role shrinking).
Rush yds
MARKET
6/7
W1-W6 OVER
73.5
LINE
6▲ straight
101.0 (7g)
2026 AVG
54%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
2.5
LINE
1.4 (7g)
2026 AVG
51%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec yds
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
16.5
LINE
15.7 (7g)
2026 AVG
61%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
6/7
TDS/GAMES
55%
MODEL
6/7
2026 TD
+1%
EDGE
Book -118 (54%)
GAMES
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Ray Davis
RB2
Ray Davis
BUF · Rush 4→30 ↑ 650%
ACTIVE
Card added Nov 1: Ray Davis has posted PropLine lines all season but was missing from the featured pool. Carries 1 → 2 → 1; rush yds 4 → 2 → 3; targets 1 → 1 → 1.
Rush yds
MARKET
1/5
W1-W6 OVER
9.5
LINE
8.4 (5g)
2026 AVG
62%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
0/5
TDS/GAMES
18%
MODEL
0/5
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Ty Johnson
RB3
Ty Johnson
BUF · Rec 24→19 ↓ 21%
ACTIVE
Card added Nov 1: Ty Johnson has posted PropLine lines all season but was missing from the featured pool. Carries 1 → 0 → 1; rush yds 3 → 0 → 3; targets 2 → 4 → 2.
Rec yds
MARKET
4/5
W1-W6 OVER
15.5
LINE
3▲ straight
34.8 (5g)
2026 AVG
62%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
3/5
W1-W6 OVER
2.5
LINE
3.0 (5g)
2026 AVG
58%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rush yds
MARKET
0/5
W1-W6 OVER
9.5
LINE
5▼ straight
2.0 (5g)
2026 AVG
71%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
0/5
TDS/GAMES
17%
MODEL
0/5
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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DJ Moore
WR1
DJ Moore
BUF · Rec 11→82 ↑ 645%
QUESTIONABLE
Injury: — Moore bounced back from his Week 2 shoulder exit with a team-high 10 targets for 67 yards in Week 3. His only full game as a Bill (Week 1) was a 5/100/1 line. He has no 2024–2026 history against New England. Targets W1→W3: 8 → DNP (shoulder, exited early) → 10.Rec yds: 100 → 0 → 67 → 11. One TD (Week 1).
Rec yds
MARKET
3/5
W1-W6 OVER
39.5
LINE
52.0 (5g)
2026 AVG
51%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
3/5
W1-W6 OVER
3.5
LINE
3.2 (5g)
2026 AVG
56%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
2/5
TDS/GAMES
27%
MODEL
2/5
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Joshua Palmer
WR2
Joshua Palmer
BUF · Rec 3→37 ↑ 1133%
QUESTIONABLE
Card added Nov 1: Joshua Palmer has posted PropLine lines all season but was missing from the featured pool. Targets 2 → 4 → 0; rec yds 37 → 3 → 0.
Rec yds
MARKET
3/4
W1-W6 OVER
14.5
LINE
29.2 (4g)
2026 AVG
57%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
0/4
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
8▼ straight
1.0 (4g)
2026 AVG
61%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
2/4
TDS/GAMES
44%
MODEL
2/4
2026 TD
+30%
EDGE
Book 600 (14%)
GAMES
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Keon Coleman
WR3
Keon Coleman
BUF · Rec 59→4 ↓ 93%
ACTIVE
Card added Nov 1: Keon Coleman has posted PropLine lines all season but was missing from the featured pool. Targets 6 → 2 → 7; rec yds 59 → 7 → 116.
Rec yds
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
35.5
LINE
41.0 (7g)
2026 AVG
61%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
2.5
LINE
2.9 (7g)
2026 AVG
52%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
3/7
TDS/GAMES
32%
MODEL
3/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Khalil Shakir
WR4
Khalil Shakir
BUF · Rec 34→64 ↑ 88%
ACTIVE
Injury: QUESTIONABLE Shakir's Week 3 was a dud — 1 catch for 6 yards on 3 targets after steady 6-target weeks to open the season. He has a decent baseline vs New England (5 and 6 catches in the two 2025 meetings), but the Week 3 usage dip is a red flag. Targets W1→W3: 6 → 6 → 3.Rec yds: 50 → 38 → 6 → 82. Scoreless in 2026.
Rec yds
MARKET
6/7
W1-W6 OVER
31.5
LINE
4▲ straight
50.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
53%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
3.5
LINE
2.9 (7g)
2026 AVG
50%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
1/7
TDS/GAMES
21%
MODEL
1/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Dalton Kincaid
TE1
Dalton Kincaid
BUF · Rec 38→86 ↑ 126%
ACTIVE
Kincaid's role collapsed in Week 3 — 3 targets and 38 yards after 8 targets and 95 yards in Week 2. His October 2025 game vs New England (6/108) shows the ceiling, but the Week 3 usage is his lowest of the season. Targets W1→W3: 6 → 8 → 3.Rec yds: 130 → 95 → 38 → 7. One TD (Week 2).
Rec yds
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
40.5
LINE
57.3 (7g)
2026 AVG
53%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
3.5
LINE
3.7 (7g)
2026 AVG
55%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
2/7
TDS/GAMES
26%
MODEL
2/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Dawson Knox
TE2
Dawson Knox
BUF · Rec 0→6 → 0%
ACTIVE
Card added Nov 1: Dawson Knox has posted PropLine lines all season but was missing from the featured pool. Targets 1 → 3 → 2; rec yds 0 → 6 → 13.
Rec yds
MARKET
1/7
W1-W6 OVER
12.5
LINE
3▼ straight
6.0 (7g)
2026 AVG
70%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
3▼ straight
1.3 (7g)
2026 AVG
53%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
1/7
TDS/GAMES
21%
MODEL
1/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Kyler Murray
QB1
Kyler Murray
MIN · ↑ 100%
QUESTIONABLE
Injury: Returning (concussion; Active) Murray made his first start since suffering a concussion in the first quarter of Week 1 vs Green Bay, taking over from Carson Wentz (who started Weeks 1–2: 133 yds/3 TD then 143 yds/0 TD), per ESPN. He managed the game in a 23-16 win at Tampa Bay — 168 yards on 29 attempts — with Justin Jefferson exiting early. pass attempts 5 → DNP → 29; pass yds 18 → DNP → 168.
Pass yds
MARKET
-
W1-W6 OVER
218.5
LINE
-
2026 AVG
—
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass INT
MARKET
-
W1-W6 OVER
0.5
LINE
-
2026 AVG
—
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass TD
MARKET
1/6
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
0.8 (6g)
2026 AVG
52%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rush yds
MARKET
3/6
W1-W6 OVER
26.5
LINE
3▲ straight
27.8 (6g)
2026 AVG
50%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
0/6
TDS/GAMES
5%
MODEL
0/6
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Aaron Jones
RB1
Aaron Jones
MIN · Rush 26→22 ↓ 15%
ACTIVE
Jones "continued to lead the Vikings backfield" in Week 3 despite dealing with a knee injury during prep, per ESPN. His receiving usage spiked (6 targets, 5 catches) even as his rushing efficiency dipped to 3.4 ypc. carries 12 → 23 → 17 → 20;rush yds 40 → 105 → 58 → 94;rush TDs 1 → 0 → 0 → 0;targets 1 → 0 → 6 → 8.
Rush yds
MARKET
5/7
W1-W6 OVER
29.5
LINE
65.4 (7g)
2026 AVG
66%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
2.1 (7g)
2026 AVG
65%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec yds
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
10.5
LINE
12.9 (7g)
2026 AVG
56%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
2/7
TDS/GAMES
34%
MODEL
2/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Jordan Mason
RB2
Jordan Mason
MIN · Rec 0→0 → 0%
ACTIVE
Card added Nov 1: Jordan Mason has posted PropLine lines all season but was missing from the featured pool. Carries 15 → 15; rush yds 68 → 59; targets 2 → 0.
Rec yds
MARKET
0/3
W1-W6 OVER
4.5
LINE
4▼ straight
0.0 (3g)
2026 AVG
—
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
0/3
W1-W6 OVER
0.5
LINE
4▼ straight
0.0 (3g)
2026 AVG
—
EDGE
GAMES
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Rush yds
MARKET
2/3
W1-W6 OVER
49.5
LINE
49.0 (3g)
2026 AVG
56%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
1/3
TDS/GAMES
37%
MODEL
1/3
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Jauan Jennings
WR1
Jauan Jennings
MIN · Rec 34→11 ↓ 68%
ACTIVE
Card added Nov 1: Jauan Jennings has posted PropLine lines all season but was missing from the featured pool. Targets 3 → 1 → 1; rec yds 34 → 0 → 8.
Rec yds
MARKET
1/4
W1-W6 OVER
14.5
LINE
13.5 (4g)
2026 AVG
56%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
2/4
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
1.5 (4g)
2026 AVG
61%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
0/4
TDS/GAMES
27%
MODEL
0/4
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Jordan Addison
WR2
Jordan Addison
MIN · Rec 20→66 ↑ 230%
ACTIVE
Injury: — Addison served as the Vikings' "de facto No. 1 wide receiver" after Jefferson exited in Week 3, per ESPN, posting season highs across the board (5/90/1). His targets have risen every week (2 → 5 → 9). targets 2 → 5 → 9 → 6;receptions 0 → 2 → 5 → 4;rec yds 0 → 21 → 90 → 52;rec TDs 0 → 0 → 1 → 0.
Anytime TD
MARKET
1/5
TDS/GAMES
30%
MODEL
1/5
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec yds
MARKET
3/5
W1-W6 OVER
38.5
LINE
49.8 (5g)
2026 AVG
51%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
2/5
W1-W6 OVER
3.5
LINE
3.2 (5g)
2026 AVG
58%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rush yds
MARKET
-
W1-W6 OVER
0.5
LINE
-
2026 AVG
—
EDGE
GAMES
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Justin Jefferson
WR3
Justin Jefferson
MIN · Rec 44→33 ↓ 25%
ACTIVE
Injury: QUESTIONABLE Jefferson injured the ankle in the first half of Week 3 and missed the final two quarters of the win over Tampa Bay, per ESPN; he is Questionable for Week 4. His production has fallen each week even before the injury (92 → 55 → 32 yards). targets 9 → 6 → 2; receptions 8 → 3 → 2; rec yds 92 → 55 → 32; rec TDs 2 → 0 → 0.
Anytime TD
MARKET
3/6
TDS/GAMES
36%
MODEL
3/6
2026 TD
-4%
EDGE
Book 150 (40%)
GAMES
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Rec yds
MARKET
2/6
W1-W6 OVER
71.5
LINE
55.8 (6g)
2026 AVG
58%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
2/6
W1-W6 OVER
5.5
LINE
4.7 (6g)
2026 AVG
59%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rush yds
MARKET
-
W1-W6 OVER
0.5
LINE
-
2026 AVG
—
EDGE
GAMES
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T.J. Hockenson
TE1
T.J. Hockenson
MIN · Rec 35→58 ↑ 66%
ACTIVE
Injury: — Hockenson "struggled along with the entire Vikings offense" in Week 3, per ESPN, managing just 11 yards. He is the uncontested TE1 with Josh Oliver on IR (torn bicep), but his yardage has declined three straight weeks. targets 5 → 4 → 4 → 13;receptions 4 → 3 → 2 → 13;rec yds 36 → 29 → 11 → 119;rec TDs 1 → 0 → 0 → 0.
Anytime TD
MARKET
3/7
TDS/GAMES
35%
MODEL
3/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec yds
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
42.5
LINE
42.1 (7g)
2026 AVG
69%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
1/7
W1-W6 OVER
4.5
LINE
3▼ straight
4.4 (7g)
2026 AVG
60%
EDGE
GAMES
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