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LAC
LAC
Sun Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
LAR
LAR
▶ Watch Game Simulation
LAST 5
L
L
L
L
L
LAST 5
L
W
L
W
L
Market & Matchup
SPREAD
LAR -6.5
LAC +6.5 · DraftKings
TOTAL
44.5
Over / Under
MONEYLINE
LAR -290
LAC +235
MODEL
Sim projects LAC 19.8 - LAR 25.7 - LAR wins it 66% of sims, agreeing with the market favorite.
MONEY
The spread money is split from the tickets: 48% of spread money is on LAC - on just 37% of tickets.
RECORD
LAR is 1-3-0 ATS as a home favorite in 2026 (10-7-0 in the role since 2023); LAC is 0-2-1 ATS as an away underdog in 2026 (3-6-0 in the role since 2023).
Where the money is · one bar, tickets vs money
Spread · LAR -6.5
LAC 37%
LAR 63%
TICKETS
LAC 48%
LAR 52%
MONEY
Total · 44.5
OVER 62%
UNDER 38%
TICKETS
OVER 65%
UNDER 35%
MONEY
Moneyline
LAC 6%
LAR 94%
TICKETS
LAC 7%
LAR 93%
MONEY
Key injuries
Los Angeles Chargers
Ladd McConkeyWR · McConkey (concussion) was spotted on the field in a no-contaACTIVE
Tre' HarrisWR · Harris (hamstring) was a limited participant in Wednesday's ACTIVE
Justin HerbertQBACTIVE
Omarion HamptonRBACTIVE
Quentin JohnstonWRACTIVE
Los Angeles Rams
Matthew StaffordQBACTIVE
Kyren WilliamsRBACTIVE
Top props in this game · model edge
Justin Herbert QB · LAC
Over 208.5 pass yds
Over in 2/6 games (avg 190.2) - LAR allows 192.9 pass yards a game to QBs (#2)
72%
MODEL
Matthew Stafford QB · LAR
Over 265.5 pass yds
Over in 4/7 games (avg 284.1) - LAC allows 210.2 pass yards a game to QBs (#7)
71%
MODEL
Quentin Johnston WR · LAC
Over 36.5 rec yds
Over in 3/5 games (avg 33.0) - LAR allows 127.7 receiving yards a game to WRs (#7)
65%
MODEL
Kyren Williams RB · LAR
Over 71.5 rush yds
Over in 4/7 games (avg 70.3) - LAC allows 93.7 rush yards a game to RBs (#14)
65%
MODEL
No player on this page is out, so nobody had to be excluded from this strip.
Situational records · ATS
LAC · away underdog today
ATS - all games (2026)0-5-1
ATS - as away underdog (2026)0-2-1
ATS - as away underdog ('23-'25)3-6-0
Totals - over/under (2026)1-5-0
LAR · home favorite today
ATS - all games (2026)3-4-0
ATS - as home favorite (2026)1-3-0
ATS - as home favorite ('23-'25)10-7-0
Totals - over/under (2026)4-3-0
Matchup edges · 2026 season ranks
LAC ball vs LAR defense

The crack: 87.3 rush yards a game (#9) and 127.7 WR yards a game (#7).

The wall: 33.1 TE yards a game (#1) and 192.9 QB yards a game (#2).

LAR ball vs LAC defense

The crack: 138.1 WR yards a game (#15) and 93.7 rush yards a game (#14).

The wall: 210.2 QB yards a game (#7) and 44.9 TE yards a game (#12).

Line: DraftKings via ESPN · Splits: Action Network · Records: TeamRankings (2026 season + 2023-2025 sums; All Games rows include playoffs) · Model: 10,000-game simulation · Injuries: Tuesday report
Defensive Matchup Ratings
LAR defense
faces LAC
vs QB
#12
#2 192.9 yds/gm
#21 1.67 td/gm
vs RB
#5
#9 87.3 yds/gm
#1 0.21 td/gm
vs WR
#8
#7 127.7 yds/gm
#10 10.3 rec/gm
vs TE
#4
#1 33.1 yds/gm
#6 4.2 rec/gm
LAC defense
faces LAR
vs QB
#7
#7 210.2 yds/gm
#7 1.23 td/gm
vs RB
#16
#14 93.7 yds/gm
#17 0.7 td/gm
vs WR
#14
#15 138.1 yds/gm
#13 10.4 rec/gm
vs TE
#8
#12 44.9 yds/gm
#5 4.2 rec/gm
Player Board
TEAM POS
SORT
Streak badges = consecutive games clearing ▲ over or missing ▼ under the line
Justin Herbert
QB1
Justin Herbert
LAC · Pass 121→204 ↑ 69%
ACTIVE
Injury: — Herbert's volume spiked to 34 attempts in Week 3, but the Chargers fell to 0-3 and his play-to-play consistency was questioned in the injury-report notes. He has thrown exactly one TD pass in every game this season — steady but unspectacular output. Pass attempts 27 → 27 → 34 → 31.Pass yds: 209 → 192 → 226 → 189. Exactly 1 pass TD in each of the 3 games.
Pass yds
MARKET
2/6
W1-W6 OVER
208.5
LINE
3▼ straight
190.2 (6g)
2026 AVG
72%
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass TD
MARKET
0/6
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
7▼ straight
0.8 (6g)
2026 AVG
57%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rush yds
MARKET
4/6
W1-W6 OVER
25.5
LINE
3▲ straight
28.0 (6g)
2026 AVG
57%
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass INT
MARKET
6/6
W1-W6 OVER
0.5
LINE
7▲ straight
1.3 (6g)
2026 AVG
70%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
-
TDS/GAMES
—
MODEL
-
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Omarion Hampton
RB1
Omarion Hampton
LAC · Rush 33→18 ↓ 45%
ACTIVE
Injury: — Hampton remains the Chargers' No. 1 back (50 carries through 3 weeks; out-carried change-of-pace Keaton Mitchell 15-9 in Week 3), but managed only 56 yards in Week 3 after his 94-yard Week 2. He has scored in two of three games. Carries 12 → 23 → 15 → 9.Rush yds: 43 → 94 → 56 → 45.Targets: 0 → 2 → 1 → 2.
Rush yds
MARKET
5/6
W1-W6 OVER
31.5
LINE
48.2 (6g)
2026 AVG
51%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
3/6
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
1.5 (6g)
2026 AVG
51%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec yds
MARKET
3/6
W1-W6 OVER
6.5
LINE
9.3 (6g)
2026 AVG
53%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
3/6
TDS/GAMES
38%
MODEL
3/6
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Ladd McConkey
WR1
Ladd McConkey
LAC · Rec 0→17 → 0%
ACTIVE
Injury: QUESTIONABLE McConkey bounced back from a quiet Week 2 (35 yards) to 66 yards on 5 targets in Week 3, remaining Herbert's most reliable wideout. He has been held without a TD since his Week 1 score. Targets 7 → 3 → 5 → 2.Rec yds: 82 → 35 → 66 → 0.
Rec yds
MARKET
2/6
W1-W6 OVER
46.5
LINE
3▼ straight
33.3 (6g)
2026 AVG
63%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
1/6
W1-W6 OVER
4.5
LINE
5▼ straight
2.2 (6g)
2026 AVG
57%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
1/6
TDS/GAMES
21%
MODEL
1/6
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Quentin Johnston
WR2
Quentin Johnston
LAC · Rec 44→57 ↑ 30%
ACTIVE
Injury: QUESTIONABLE Johnston posted his best game of 2026 in Week 3 (3/40 on 6 targets), finishing second on the team in targets. His role has been consistent (~5-6 targets weekly) but production lagged until last week. Targets 6 → 5 → 6 → 2 (steady).Rec yds: 17 → 7 → 40 → 44.
Rec yds
MARKET
3/5
W1-W6 OVER
36.5
LINE
3▲ straight
33.0 (5g)
2026 AVG
65%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
0/5
W1-W6 OVER
3.5
LINE
6▼ straight
1.6 (5g)
2026 AVG
62%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
0/5
TDS/GAMES
20%
MODEL
0/5
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Tre' Harris
WR3
Tre' Harris
LAC · Rec 60→16 ↓ 73%
ACTIVE
Injury: DOUBTFUL Harris broke out in Week 3 with career highs across the board (6 catches, 76 yards) while leading the Chargers in targets. His usage is trending sharply up after a quiet Week 2, making him the team's emerging WR. Targets 6 → 3 → 7 → 5.Rec yds: 20 → 53 → 76 → 60. Rising.
Rec yds
MARKET
3/5
W1-W6 OVER
39.5
LINE
45.0 (5g)
2026 AVG
62%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
1/5
W1-W6 OVER
3.5
LINE
3.0 (5g)
2026 AVG
56%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
0/5
TDS/GAMES
19%
MODEL
0/5
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Matthew Stafford
QB1
Matthew Stafford
LAR · Pass 222→195 ↓ 12%
ACTIVE
Injury: — W3 was a volume explosion — 55 attempts and 390 yards, both season highs by far, though it came with 2 INTs after a 4-TD W2. He has thrown exactly 2 TDs in each of the last three meetings with Philadelphia. pass attempts 25 → 31 → 55 → 51.
Pass yds
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
265.5
LINE
284.1 (7g)
2026 AVG
71%
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass INT
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
0.5
LINE
0.7 (7g)
2026 AVG
56%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
2/7
TDS/GAMES
7%
MODEL
2/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Kyren Williams
RB1
Kyren Williams
LAR · Rush 50→99 ↑ 98%
ACTIVE
Injury: — W3 brought season highs in carries (15), rushing yards (88) and targets (7), with 70 receiving yards nearly matching his rushing output. His rushing workload has risen each week (11 → 12 → 15). carries 11 → 12 → 15 → 16;targets 3 → 2 → 7 → 13.
Rush yds
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
71.5
LINE
70.3 (7g)
2026 AVG
65%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
5/7
TDS/GAMES
55%
MODEL
5/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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