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LV
LV
Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
NYJ
NYJ
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LAST 5
W
W
W
L
L
LAST 5
W
L
L
L
W
Market & Matchup
SPREAD
LV -1.5
NYJ +1.5 · DraftKings
TOTAL
45.5
Over / Under
MONEYLINE
LV -110
NYJ -110
MODEL
Sim projects LV 24.0 - NYJ 21.5 - LV wins it 57% of sims, agreeing with the market favorite.
MONEY
The moneyline money is split from the tickets: 84% of moneyline money is on LV - on just 67% of tickets.
RECORD
LV has not been a away favorite yet in 2026 (1-1-0 in the role since 2023); NYJ is 1-0-0 ATS as a home underdog in 2026 (7-10-0 in the role since 2023).
Where the money is · one bar, tickets vs money
Spread · LV -1.5
LV 73%
NYJ 27%
TICKETS
LV 72%
NYJ 28%
MONEY
Total · 45.5
OVER 64%
UNDER 36%
TICKETS
OVER 68%
UNDER 32%
MONEY
Moneyline
LV 67%
NYJ 33%
TICKETS
LV 84%
NYJ 16%
MONEY
Key injuries
Las Vegas Raiders
Kirk CousinsQBACTIVE
Ashton JeantyRBACTIVE
Tre TuckerWRACTIVE
Brock BowersTEACTIVE
New York Jets
Geno SmithQBACTIVE
Braelon AllenRBACTIVE
Garrett WilsonWRACTIVE
Isaiah WilliamsWRACTIVE
Mason TaylorTEACTIVE
Top props in this game · model edge
Ashton Jeanty RB · LV
Over 3.5 rec
Over in 5/7 games (avg 4.9)
77%
MODEL
Brock Bowers TE · LV
Over 5.5 rec
Over in 4/5 games (avg 6.8) - NYJ allows 5.6 receptions a game to TEs (#20)
74%
MODEL
Kirk Cousins QB · LV
Over 1.5 pass td
Over in 6/7 games (avg 2.3) - NYJ allows 1.68 pass TDs a game to QBs (#22)
70%
MODEL
Tre Tucker WR · LV
Over 3.5 rec
Over in 6/7 games (avg 4.1) - NYJ allows 10.9 receptions a game to WRs (#15)
64%
MODEL
No player on this page is out, so nobody had to be excluded from this strip.
Situational records · ATS
LV · away favorite today
ATS - all games (2026)5-2-0
ATS - as away favorite (2026)—
ATS - as away favorite ('23-'25)1-1-0
Totals - over/under (2026)5-2-0
NYJ · home underdog today
ATS - all games (2026)4-2-1
ATS - as home underdog (2026)1-0-0
ATS - as home underdog ('23-'25)7-10-0
Totals - over/under (2026)3-4-0
Matchup edges · 2026 season ranks
LV ball vs NYJ defense

The crack: 112.5 rush yards a game (#31) and 52.8 TE yards a game (#20).

The wall: 130.2 WR yards a game (#9) and 217.7 QB yards a game (#11).

NYJ ball vs LV defense

The crack: 105.7 rush yards a game (#26) and 147.9 WR yards a game (#21).

The wall: 41.9 TE yards a game (#8) and 216.8 QB yards a game (#10).

Line: DraftKings via ESPN · Splits: Action Network · Records: TeamRankings (2026 season + 2023-2025 sums; All Games rows include playoffs) · Model: 10,000-game simulation · Injuries: Tuesday report LV away favorite multi-year sum covers 2023 and 2024 only - no such games in 2025.
Defensive Matchup Ratings
NYJ defense
faces LV
vs QB
#16
#11 217.7 yds/gm
#22 1.68 td/gm
vs RB
#30
#31 112.5 yds/gm
#30 1.05 td/gm
vs WR
#12
#9 130.2 yds/gm
#15 10.9 rec/gm
vs TE
#20
#20 52.8 yds/gm
#20 5.6 rec/gm
LV defense
faces NYJ
vs QB
#14
#10 216.8 yds/gm
#19 1.55 td/gm
vs RB
#25
#26 105.7 yds/gm
#24 0.84 td/gm
vs WR
#18
#21 147.9 yds/gm
#14 10.5 rec/gm
vs TE
#12
#8 41.9 yds/gm
#15 5.1 rec/gm
Player Board
TEAM POS
SORT
Streak badges = consecutive games clearing ▲ over or missing ▼ under the line
Kirk Cousins
QB1
Kirk Cousins
LV · Pass 313→295 ↓ 6%
ACTIVE
Cousins "again took every snap under center" for Las Vegas in the Week 3 shootout win, per ESPN, throwing 3 TDs for the third straight game (9 total, 0 INT in Weeks 2–3). Rookie Fernando Mendoza remains the backup. pass attempts 30 → 29 → 33 → 52;pass yds 160 → 253 → 248 → 365;pass TDs 3 → 3 → 3 → 2.
Pass yds
MARKET
6/7
W1-W6 OVER
239.5
LINE
6▲ straight
268.1 (7g)
2026 AVG
55%
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass TD
MARKET
6/7
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
2.3 (7g)
2026 AVG
70%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rush yds
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
0.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
55%
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass INT
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
0.5
LINE
0.7 (7g)
2026 AVG
63%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
-
TDS/GAMES
—
MODEL
-
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Ashton Jeanty
RB1
Ashton Jeanty
LV · Rush 22→15 ↓ 32%
ACTIVE
Jeanty "topped 20 touches for a third straight game" to settle into a bell-cow role, per ESPN — but efficiency is thin (2.9 ypc in Week 3, 56 yards on 19 carries) and he has yet to score a rushing TD in 2026 (his 2 TDs came receiving in Week 1). carries 23 → 21 → 19 → 15;rush yds 102 → 48 → 56 → 58;targets 6 → 7 → 3 → 8;receptions 6 → 4 → 3 → 6.
Rush yds
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
54.5
LINE
3▼ straight
46.9 (7g)
2026 AVG
60%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
5/7
W1-W6 OVER
3.5
LINE
4.9 (7g)
2026 AVG
77%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec yds
MARKET
6/7
W1-W6 OVER
28.5
LINE
5▲ straight
44.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
76%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
3/7
TDS/GAMES
50%
MODEL
3/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Tre Tucker
WR1
Tre Tucker
LV · Rec 97→103 ↑ 6%
ACTIVE
Tucker "finished second on the team in targets" in Week 3 but was "far behind" Bowers (13), per ESPN. His Week 2 breakout (5/119/1) looks like the outlier so far — he drew only 4 targets in the shootout win at New Orleans. targets 4 → 7 → 4 → 8;receptions 2 → 5 → 4 → 4;rec yds 27 → 119 → 43 → 44;rec TDs 0 → 1 → 0 → 0.
Rec yds
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
43.5
LINE
67.7 (7g)
2026 AVG
55%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
6/7
W1-W6 OVER
3.5
LINE
6▲ straight
4.1 (7g)
2026 AVG
64%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
2/7
TDS/GAMES
33%
MODEL
2/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Brock Bowers
TE1
Brock Bowers
LV · Rec 70→73 ↑ 4%
ACTIVE
Bowers made his 2026 season debut in Week 3 and immediately commanded 13 targets — nearly triple the next Raider (Tre Tucker, 4), per ESPN — going 10/116/1. His last full game vs KC (2024) was a near-identical 10/140/1 line. targets DNP → DNP → 13; receptions DNP → DNP → 10; rec yds DNP → DNP → 116.
Rec yds
MARKET
4/5
W1-W6 OVER
70.5
LINE
91.0 (5g)
2026 AVG
63%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
4/5
W1-W6 OVER
5.5
LINE
6.8 (5g)
2026 AVG
74%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
3/5
TDS/GAMES
40%
MODEL
3/5
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Geno Smith
QB1
Geno Smith
NYJ · Pass 252→287 ↑ 14%
ACTIVE
Smith has improved every week — completions, yards, and TDs all up three straight weeks — and his 321-yard, 3-TD Week 3 was his best game as a Jet. He has not thrown an interception in 2026. No recent history vs Chicago. Pass attempts W1→W3: 24 → 41 → 37 → 15.Pass yds: 215 → 247 → 321 → 119. TD:INT: 0:0 → 1:0 → 3:0. Zero INTs in 2026.
Pass yds
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
224.5
LINE
231.9 (7g)
2026 AVG
61%
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass INT
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
0.5
LINE
0.3 (7g)
2026 AVG
52%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
-
TDS/GAMES
—
MODEL
-
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Braelon Allen
RB1
Braelon Allen
NYJ · → 0%
ACTIVE
Allen's rushing role has shrunk each week (10 → 5 → 4 carries), though his receiving involvement ticked up in Week 3. With Breece Hall Questionable (thigh), Allen is the direct contingency — he saw Week 3 work after Hall's exit. No recent history vs Chicago. Carries W1→W3: 10 → 5 → 4.Rush yds: 40 → 7 → 14 → 59. One rushing TD (Week 2).Targets: 1 → 1 → 3 → 2.
Anytime TD
MARKET
2/7
TDS/GAMES
33%
MODEL
2/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Garrett Wilson
WR1
Garrett Wilson
NYJ · Rec 44→26 ↓ 41%
ACTIVE
Injury: DOUBTFUL Wilson had his biggest game of the season in Week 3 — 10 catches for 107 yards and a TD on a career-pace 13 targets — after two quieter weeks. He was checked for a head injury mid-game but cleared and finished. No recent history vs Chicago. Targets W1→W3: 7 → 7 → 13.Rec yds: 79 → 57 → 107 → 27. TDs in Weeks 2 and 3.
Rec yds
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
60.5
LINE
63.4 (7g)
2026 AVG
54%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
4.5
LINE
5.3 (7g)
2026 AVG
64%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
3/7
TDS/GAMES
30%
MODEL
3/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Isaiah Williams
WR2
Isaiah Williams
NYJ · → 0%
ACTIVE
Williams' snap share is huge (90% in Week 3) but his production is minimal — 1 catch on 2 targets last week after a 6-catch Week 2. He is the nominal WR2 opposite Garrett Wilson with Sterling Shepard rotating in. No recent history vs Chicago. Targets W1→W3: 1 → 6 → 2.Rec yds: 7 → 34 → 21 → 73. Also 1 rush for 14 yds in Week 2.
Anytime TD
MARKET
1/7
TDS/GAMES
20%
MODEL
1/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Mason Taylor
TE1
Mason Taylor
NYJ · → 0%
ACTIVE
Taylor has not played since Week 1 (3 targets, -2 yards) and remains Questionable. In his absence, rookie Kenyon Sadiq caught his first career TD in Week 3 (per ESPN) — monitor who dresses at TE on Sunday. Targets W1→W3: 3 → DNP → DNP. Week 1: 2 rec / -2 yds.
Anytime TD
MARKET
0/5
TDS/GAMES
20%
MODEL
0/5
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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