Where the money is · one bar, tickets vs money
Spread · NE -7.5
TICKETS
MONEY
Key injuries
New England Patriots
Drake MayeQBACTIVE
DeMario DouglasWRACTIVE
Hunter HenryTEACTIVE
Miami Dolphins
Malik WillisQBACTIVE
Ollie Gordon IIRBACTIVE
Chris BellWRACTIVE
Malik WashingtonWRACTIVE
Greg DulcichTEACTIVE
Top props in this game · model edge
Drake Maye QB · NE
Over 0.5 pass int
Over in 5/7 games (avg 1.1)
Malik Willis QB · MIA
Over 185.5 pass yds
Over in 4/6 games (avg 176.2) - NE allows 201.6 pass yards a game to QBs (#4)
DeMario Douglas WR · NE
Over 29.5 rec yds
Over in 3/7 games (avg 36.6) - MIA allows 122.5 receiving yards a game to WRs (#5)
Hunter Henry TE · NE
Over 3.5 rec
Over in 2/7 games (avg 3.0) - MIA allows 6.8 receptions a game to TEs (#30)
No player on this page is out, so nobody had to be excluded from this strip.
Situational records · ATS
NE · away favorite today
| ATS - all games (2026) | 3-3-1 |
| ATS - as away favorite (2026) | — |
| ATS - as away favorite ('23-'25) | 4-3-0 |
| Totals - over/under (2026) | 4-3-0 |
MIA · home underdog today
| ATS - all games (2026) | 3-3-0 |
| ATS - as home underdog (2026) | 1-1-0 |
| ATS - as home underdog ('23-'25) | 4-3-0 |
| Totals - over/under (2026) | 3-3-0 |
Matchup edges · 2026 season ranks
NE ball vs MIA defense
The crack: 74.8 TE yards a game (#30) and 101.2 rush yards a game (#22).
The wall: 122.5 WR yards a game (#5) and 235.6 QB yards a game (#20).
MIA ball vs NE defense
The crack: 130.8 WR yards a game (#10) and 86.6 rush yards a game (#8).
The wall: 201.6 QB yards a game (#4) and 40.7 TE yards a game (#6).