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PHI
PHI
Sun Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET
Northwest Stadium
WSH
WSH
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LAST 5
W
W
L
L
L
LAST 5
L
L
W
L
T
Market & Matchup
SPREAD
WSH -4.5
PHI +4.5 · DraftKings
TOTAL
40.5
Over / Under
MONEYLINE
WSH -205
PHI +170
MODEL
Sim projects PHI 20.1 - WSH 25.4 - WSH wins it 65% of sims, agreeing with the market favorite.
MONEY
The spread money is split from the tickets: 70% of spread money is on WSH - on just 52% of tickets.
RECORD
WSH is 0-1-0 ATS as a home favorite in 2026 (8-6-0 in the role since 2023); PHI has not been a away underdog yet in 2026 (5-1-0 in the role since 2023).
Where the money is · one bar, tickets vs money
Spread · WSH -4.5
PHI 48%
WSH 52%
TICKETS
PHI 30%
WSH 70%
MONEY
Total · 40.5
OVER 80%
UNDER 20%
TICKETS
OVER 90%
UNDER 10%
MONEY
Moneyline
PHI 16%
WSH 84%
TICKETS
PHI 23%
WSH 77%
MONEY
Key injuries
Philadelphia Eagles
Saquon BarkleyRB · Barkley said Monday that his back injury was compensatory afACTIVE
Makai LemonWRACTIVE
Washington Commanders
Stefon DiggsWR · Diggs (hand/hamstring/rest) was a non-participant at WednesdACTIVE
Top props in this game · model edge
Stefon Diggs WR · WSH
Over 53.5 rec yds
Over in 1/5 games (avg 42.8) - PHI allows 146.8 receiving yards a game to WRs (#19)
67%
MODEL
Makai Lemon WR · PHI
Over 39.5 rec yds
Over in 2/7 games (avg 27.7) - WSH allows 163.0 receiving yards a game to WRs (#24)
62%
MODEL
Saquon Barkley RB · PHI
Over 70.5 rush yds
Over in 2/5 games (avg 48.8) - WSH allows 97.2 rush yards a game to RBs (#20)
59%
MODEL
Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB · WSH
Over 57.5 rush yds
Over in 2/6 games (avg 39.8) - PHI allows 102.5 rush yards a game to RBs (#24)
58%
MODEL
No player on this page is out, so nobody had to be excluded from this strip.
Situational records · ATS
PHI · away underdog today
ATS - all games (2026)1-6-0
ATS - as away underdog (2026)—
ATS - as away underdog ('23-'25)5-1-0
Totals - over/under (2026)4-3-0
WSH · home favorite today
ATS - all games (2026)3-3-0
ATS - as home favorite (2026)0-1-0
ATS - as home favorite ('23-'25)8-6-0
Totals - over/under (2026)4-2-0
Matchup edges · 2026 season ranks
PHI ball vs WSH defense

The crack: 252.5 QB yards a game (#27) and 163.0 WR yards a game (#24).

No real wall here - even the better numbers are soft: 97.2 rush yards a game (#20) and 163.0 WR yards a game (#24).

WSH ball vs PHI defense

The crack: 102.5 rush yards a game (#24) and 146.8 WR yards a game (#19).

The wall: 34.2 TE yards a game (#2) and 213.9 QB yards a game (#8).

Line: DraftKings via ESPN · Splits: Action Network · Records: TeamRankings (2026 season + 2023-2025 sums; All Games rows include playoffs) · Model: 10,000-game simulation · Injuries: Tuesday report
Defensive Matchup Ratings
WSH defense
faces PHI
vs QB
#29
#27 252.5 yds/gm
#31 2.32 td/gm
vs RB
#20
#20 97.2 yds/gm
#21 0.77 td/gm
vs WR
#27
#24 163.0 yds/gm
#30 13.3 rec/gm
vs TE
#18
#24 61.1 yds/gm
#12 4.9 rec/gm
PHI defense
faces WSH
vs QB
#5
#8 213.9 yds/gm
#2 0.9 td/gm
vs RB
#22
#24 102.5 yds/gm
#19 0.74 td/gm
vs WR
#20
#19 146.8 yds/gm
#22 11.5 rec/gm
vs TE
#2
#2 34.2 yds/gm
#3 4.0 rec/gm
Player Board
TEAM POS
SORT
Streak badges = consecutive games clearing ▲ over or missing ▼ under the line
Saquon Barkley
RB1
Saquon Barkley
PHI · Rush 8→62 ↑ 675%
ACTIVE
Injury: QUESTIONABLE Bounced back to 15 carries and 82 yards in W3 after a 4-carry, 9-yard W2, but he remains scoreless on the season. His 2024 meeting with the Rams (255 yds, 2 TD) dwarfs the other two (46 and 82 yards). He practiced in full this week. carries 15 → 4 → 15 → 2;targets 2 → 2 → 2 → 1.
Rush yds
MARKET
2/5
W1-W6 OVER
70.5
LINE
48.8 (5g)
2026 AVG
59%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
1/5
TDS/GAMES
29%
MODEL
1/5
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Makai Lemon
WR3
Makai Lemon
PHI · Rec 19→67 ↑ 253%
ACTIVE
Injury: — Matched his season high with 3 catches for 29 yards in W3 after nearly disappearing in W2 (1 target). Still scoreless and lightly used — 9 targets through three weeks. targets 4 → 1 → 4 → 6.
Rec yds
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
39.5
LINE
27.7 (7g)
2026 AVG
62%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
3.5
LINE
3.1 (7g)
2026 AVG
59%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
1/7
TDS/GAMES
25%
MODEL
1/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Jacory Croskey-Merritt
RB1
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
WSH · Rush 82→0 ↓ 100%
ACTIVE
Injury: DOUBTFUL Croskey-Merritt's workload is intact (19 carries in Week 3) but his efficiency has cratered three straight weeks, bottoming at 1.9 yards per carry. He remains the nominal starter, though Rachaad White was more productive on limited Week 3 carries (4.4 YPC, per ESPN). No recent history vs Indianapolis. Carries W1→W3: 16 → 12 → 19.Rush yds: 63 → 43 → 36 → 15.Rush TDs: 1 → 0 → 0 → 0. Efficiency collapsing: 3.9 → 3.6 →...
Rush yds
MARKET
2/6
W1-W6 OVER
57.5
LINE
39.8 (6g)
2026 AVG
58%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
1/6
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
0.8 (6g)
2026 AVG
53%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec yds
MARKET
1/6
W1-W6 OVER
11
LINE
6.7 (6g)
2026 AVG
58%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
2/6
TDS/GAMES
36%
MODEL
2/6
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Stefon Diggs
WR1
Stefon Diggs
WSH · Rec 35→44 ↑ 26%
ACTIVE
Injury: QUESTIONABLE Diggs led Washington in targets in Week 3 but managed only 33 yards, continuing a three-week yardage slide (55 → 47 → 33) even as he stays involved. He scored in each of the first two weeks. No recent history vs Indianapolis. Targets W1→W3: 9 → 6 → 7.Rec yds: 55 → 47 → 33 → 35. TDs in Weeks 1 and 2, none in Week 3.
Rec yds
MARKET
1/5
W1-W6 OVER
53.5
LINE
4▼ straight
42.8 (5g)
2026 AVG
67%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
1/5
W1-W6 OVER
5.5
LINE
4.8 (5g)
2026 AVG
52%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
3/5
TDS/GAMES
42%
MODEL
3/5
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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