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TEN
TEN
Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
Paycor Stadium
CIN
CIN
▶ Watch Game Simulation
LAST 5
L
L
L
L
L
LAST 5
W
W
L
L
W
Market & Matchup
SPREAD
CIN -10
TEN +10 · DraftKings
TOTAL
46.5
Over / Under
MONEYLINE
CIN -625
TEN +455
MODEL
Sim projects TEN 19.9 - CIN 25.6 - CIN wins it 66% of sims, agreeing with the market favorite.
MONEY
The spread money is split from the tickets: 75% of spread money is on CIN - on just 56% of tickets.
RECORD
CIN is 1-1-0 ATS as a home favorite in 2026 (9-8-2 in the role since 2023); TEN is 2-1-0 ATS as an away underdog in 2026 (7-15-1 in the role since 2023).
Where the money is · one bar, tickets vs money
Spread · CIN -10
TEN 44%
CIN 56%
TICKETS
TEN 25%
CIN 75%
MONEY
Total · 46.5
OVER 29%
UNDER 71%
TICKETS
OVER 20%
UNDER 80%
MONEY
Moneyline
TEN 6%
CIN 94%
TICKETS
TEN 2%
CIN 98%
MONEY
Key injuries
Tennessee Titans
Cam WardQBACTIVE
Tony PollardRBACTIVE
Carnell TateWROUT
Elic AyomanorWRACTIVE
Gunnar HelmTEACTIVE
Cincinnati Bengals
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · Chase was listed as a non-participant in Wednesday's practicACTIVE
Joe BurrowQBACTIVE
Chase BrownRBACTIVE
Tee HigginsWRACTIVE
Mike GesickiTEACTIVE
Top props in this game · model edge
Cam Ward QB · TEN
Over 194.5 pass yds
Over in 1/7 games (avg 168.4) - CIN allows 255.5 pass yards a game to QBs (#30)
73%
MODEL
Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN
Over 78.5 rec yds
Over in 1/6 games (avg 58.5) - TEN allows 166.6 receiving yards a game to WRs (#25)
70%
MODEL
Gunnar Helm TE · TEN
Over 17.5 rec yds
Over in 2/7 games (avg 12.0) - CIN allows 94.3 receiving yards a game to TEs (#32)
64%
MODEL
Tony Pollard RB · TEN
Over 64.5 rush yds
Over in 3/7 games (avg 68.3) - CIN allows 95.7 rush yards a game to RBs (#19)
63%
MODEL
No player on this page is out, so nobody had to be excluded from this strip.
Situational records · ATS
TEN · away underdog today
ATS - all games (2026)3-4-0
ATS - as away underdog (2026)2-1-0
ATS - as away underdog ('23-'25)7-15-1
Totals - over/under (2026)3-4-0
CIN · home favorite today
ATS - all games (2026)3-3-0
ATS - as home favorite (2026)1-1-0
ATS - as home favorite ('23-'25)9-8-2
Totals - over/under (2026)4-2-0
Matchup edges · 2026 season ranks
TEN ball vs CIN defense

The crack: 94.3 TE yards a game (#32) and 255.5 QB yards a game (#30).

The wall: 119.8 WR yards a game (#3) and 95.7 rush yards a game (#19).

CIN ball vs TEN defense

The crack: 166.6 WR yards a game (#25) and 236.7 QB yards a game (#21).

The wall: 42.6 TE yards a game (#9) and 92.3 rush yards a game (#12).

Line: DraftKings via ESPN · Splits: Action Network · Records: TeamRankings (2026 season + 2023-2025 sums; All Games rows include playoffs) · Model: 10,000-game simulation · Injuries: Tuesday report
Defensive Matchup Ratings
CIN defense
faces TEN
vs QB
#20
#30 255.5 yds/gm
#10 1.32 td/gm
vs RB
#15
#19 95.7 yds/gm
#11 0.6 td/gm
vs WR
#2
#3 119.8 yds/gm
#1 9.0 rec/gm
vs TE
#32
#32 94.3 yds/gm
#31 7.3 rec/gm
TEN defense
faces CIN
vs QB
#18
#21 236.7 yds/gm
#15 1.41 td/gm
vs RB
#18
#12 92.3 yds/gm
#23 0.83 td/gm
vs WR
#26
#25 166.6 yds/gm
#27 12.2 rec/gm
vs TE
#11
#9 42.6 yds/gm
#13 5.0 rec/gm
Player Board
TEAM POS
SORT
Streak badges = consecutive games clearing ▲ over or missing ▼ under the line
Cam Ward
QB1
Cam Ward
TEN · Pass 102→181 ↑ 77%
ACTIVE
Ward failed to reach 200 passing yards for the third straight game to open the season, and his Week 3 interception was his first turnover of 2026. Volume ticked back up to 36 attempts after a quiet Week 2, but the Titans managed only 7 points against the Giants. pass attempts 32 → 20 → 36 → 31;pass yds 140 → 183 → 181 → 222;pass TDs 1 → 0 → 1 → 1.
Pass yds
MARKET
1/7
W1-W6 OVER
194.5
LINE
3▼ straight
168.4 (7g)
2026 AVG
73%
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass TD
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
0.5
LINE
0.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
64%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rush yds
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
9.5
LINE
3▼ straight
10.1 (7g)
2026 AVG
56%
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass INT
MARKET
5/7
W1-W6 OVER
0.5
LINE
5▲ straight
0.7 (7g)
2026 AVG
67%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
-
TDS/GAMES
—
MODEL
-
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Tony Pollard
RB1
Tony Pollard
TEN · Rush 76→129 ↑ 70%
ACTIVE
Pollard saw his biggest workload of the season in Week 3 (17 carries, 4 catches) with Tyjae Spears continuing to deal with ankle trouble, per ESPN. His rushing yardage has risen every week, though he has yet to score a rushing TD in 2026. carries 7 → 14 → 17 → 16;rush yds 35 → 64 → 74 → 48;targets 2 → 1 → 4 → 4.
Rush yds
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
64.5
LINE
68.3 (7g)
2026 AVG
63%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
1.3 (7g)
2026 AVG
53%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec yds
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
14.5
LINE
7.1 (7g)
2026 AVG
62%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
1/7
TDS/GAMES
36%
MODEL
1/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Carnell Tate
WR2
Carnell Tate
TEN · Rec 70→69 ↓ 1%
OUT
The 4th overall pick in the 2026 draft set season highs in catches, targets, and yards in Week 3 while leading the Titans in all three, per ESPN. His target share is trending clearly upward (6 → 5 → 9). targets 6 → 5 → 9 → 12;receptions 4 → 3 → 6 → 9;rec yds 38 → 27 → 58 → 145.
Rec yds
MARKET
4/7
W1-W6 OVER
55.5
LINE
59.0 (7g)
2026 AVG
63%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
4.5
LINE
3.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
54%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
1/7
TDS/GAMES
25%
MODEL
1/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Elic Ayomanor
WR3
Elic Ayomanor
TEN · Rec 3→44 ↑ 1367%
ACTIVE
Ayomanor finished with the second-most offensive snaps among Titans wideouts in Week 3, per ESPN, but the role hasn't translated to production — his targets have held flat at 3 per game and he managed just 1 catch for 11 yards against the Giants. targets 3 → 3 → 3 → 1;receptions 1 → 2 → 1 → 1;rec yds 11 → 69 → 11 → 22.
Rec yds
MARKET
3/7
W1-W6 OVER
17
LINE
25.3 (7g)
2026 AVG
62%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
1.3 (7g)
2026 AVG
57%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
1/7
TDS/GAMES
21%
MODEL
1/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Gunnar Helm
TE1
Gunnar Helm
TEN · Rec 0→24 → 0%
ACTIVE
Helm split tight-end work with Daniel Bellinger (2/16) in Week 3, edging him in targets 4-2 per ESPN. His yardage has stayed flat in the low teens for two straight weeks. targets 5 → 2 → 4 → 1;receptions 4 → 2 → 2 → 1;rec yds 28 → 13 → 14 → 5.
Rec yds
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
17.5
LINE
12.0 (7g)
2026 AVG
64%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
2/7
W1-W6 OVER
2.5
LINE
1.6 (7g)
2026 AVG
64%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
0/7
TDS/GAMES
13%
MODEL
0/7
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Joe Burrow
QB1
Joe Burrow
CIN · Pass 190→292 ↑ 54%
ACTIVE
Injury: — W3 was his sharpest outing of the young season — season highs in attempts (37), yards (282) and TDs (3) with no interceptions. He threw just 13 passes in last September's meeting with Jacksonville. pass attempts 35 → 31 → 37 → 54.
Pass yds
MARKET
3/6
W1-W6 OVER
260.5
LINE
275.5 (6g)
2026 AVG
58%
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass TD
MARKET
-
W1-W6 OVER
1.5
LINE
-
2026 AVG
—
EDGE
GAMES
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Rush yds
MARKET
-
W1-W6 OVER
7.5
LINE
-
2026 AVG
—
EDGE
GAMES
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Pass INT
MARKET
-
W1-W6 OVER
0.5
LINE
-
2026 AVG
—
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
-
TDS/GAMES
—
MODEL
-
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Chase Brown
RB1
Chase Brown
CIN · Rush 39→39 → 0%
ACTIVE
Injury: — Season-low 13 carries and 61 yards in W3, and his receiving involvement has faded each week (6 → 5 → 2 targets). He managed only 47 rushing yards on 16 carries against Jacksonville last September. carries 16 → 20 → 13 → 9;targets 6 → 5 → 2 → 11.
Rush yds
MARKET
3/6
W1-W6 OVER
55.5
LINE
3▼ straight
47.5 (6g)
2026 AVG
57%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
2/6
W1-W6 OVER
3.5
LINE
2.8 (6g)
2026 AVG
57%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec yds
MARKET
2/6
W1-W6 OVER
21.5
LINE
23.8 (6g)
2026 AVG
53%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
1/6
TDS/GAMES
34%
MODEL
1/6
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Ja'Marr Chase
WR1
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN · Rec 77→62 ↓ 19%
ACTIVE
Injury: — Target share is climbing steeply (4 → 9 → 12) and W3 brought season highs in catches (9) and yards (98). Jacksonville has been his best matchup on record: 314 yards and 2 TDs across the last two meetings. targets 4 → 9 → 12 → 3.
Rec yds
MARKET
1/6
W1-W6 OVER
78.5
LINE
3▼ straight
58.5 (6g)
2026 AVG
70%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
1/6
W1-W6 OVER
7.5
LINE
3▼ straight
4.8 (6g)
2026 AVG
51%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
3/6
TDS/GAMES
32%
MODEL
3/6
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Tee Higgins
WR2
Tee Higgins
CIN · Rec 22→148 ↑ 573%
ACTIVE
Injury: — Posted his second straight strong game (6/90/1) and has 185 yards over the last two weeks. He caught a TD against Jacksonville in last September's meeting. targets 6 → 10 → 7 → 16.
Rec yds
MARKET
4/6
W1-W6 OVER
66.5
LINE
95.2 (6g)
2026 AVG
58%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
3/6
W1-W6 OVER
4.5
LINE
3.7 (6g)
2026 AVG
63%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
2/6
TDS/GAMES
39%
MODEL
2/6
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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Mike Gesicki
TE1
Mike Gesicki
CIN · Rec 4→6 ↑ 50%
ACTIVE
Injury: — Recorded no stats in W2, then caught all 3 targets for 37 yards and a TD in W3. Both his 2026 TDs have come on modest target counts (7 in W1, 3 in W3). targets 7 → DNP (no stats recorded W2) → 3.
Rec yds
MARKET
3/6
W1-W6 OVER
28.5
LINE
27.5 (6g)
2026 AVG
51%
EDGE
GAMES
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Rec
MARKET
2/6
W1-W6 OVER
2.5
LINE
3▼ straight
1.7 (6g)
2026 AVG
53%
EDGE
GAMES
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Anytime TD
MARKET
5/6
TDS/GAMES
41%
MODEL
5/6
2026 TD
25
EDGE
GAMES
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