QUICK LINKS
🏈 Games🎯 Props to Watch⭐ Projected Winners🏆 TD Board📊 Hit Rate Matrix🎲 Game Sim

HIT RATE MATRIX

Thursday, Oct 29, 2026 · Week 8 · CAR @ GB, 8:15 PM ET. Pick a stat: every featured player on both teams, and how often he clears each number.
PICK A GAME
STAT
WINDOW
VENUE
80-100%60-79%40-59%20-39%0-19%fractions show the sample behind the %

How to read it. Each cell is the share of sampled games where the player finished at or above the column number, over the fraction of games cleared out of games sampled, so the sample size is always on the cell.

When the sample is 10 games or fewer the fraction leads (big) and the percentage goes small; above 10 games the percentage leads. NFL samples are small - a season is 7 games so far - so fractions lead almost everywhere.

Windows. SEASON is the current 2026 regular season to date. L10 and L5 are his most recent 10 and 5 games across seasons, from the same game logs behind the player cards.

H2H would be his most recent meetings with tonight's opponent - no H2H logs are stored for any player in this game yet, so that window dashes rather than inventing meetings.

Venue splits which of those games count: his home games only, his road games only, or all of them. It is a sample split, not a team filter; a few stored games carry no venue flag and count in ALL only.

LINE is his posted line for tonight where one is carried, dash where none is; the TD line is 0.5 (anytime TD) and SCRIM (rushing + receiving yards) carries no line.

MATCHUP is the opponent's DvP rank against his position for the selected stat (#1 is the toughest defense, #32 the softest), dash where no cut exists for that stat and position.

Rows are the featured players with cards on this game's page - the same pool as Top Props.

These rates are history, not projections.